Royal Ascot Day Two
Frankel was very impressive yesterday and we managed to find a 50-1 and a 16-1 placed and a bit unlucky with a 14-1 fourth. Level stakes should have showed a small profit.
Our thoughts on some of the leading contenders on day two but it has to be said that three of the races do not appeal as betting events
We have also updated the times to Australian times.
11.30pm Jersey Stakes 7f
Sentaril looks to have been kept for this and is two from two for in form trainer William Haggas. Despite her not being the top rated, she looks to have a huge amount of scope. Coolmore run the experienced colt Reply who was a winner at two and also placed in the Group 1 Middle Park Stakes. He reappeared in the Irish 2,000 Guineas but could not close down Power close home. A big priced runner that interests me is Red Duke who despite having to concede weight all round, has a touch of class being already proven at Group 2 level. He should have won the German Guineas but got one of the worst rides ever seen. The trainer has booked Frankel’s jockey today. Aljamaaheer was impressive in a listed race last time and Valbchek is unbeaten in two but looked an awkward ride and hasn’t run since April. Swiss Spirit won a hard fought listed race last time and has already been beaten by Valbchek. Ishvana looks a difficult filly to win with but she was second in the Irish 1,000 Guineas but does look exposed. Producer is an improving colt who won a listed race at Epsom and with more improvement could make the frame. The top rated horse is Boomerang Bob who was second here as a juvenile and has twice been placed in Group 3 races, in fact his only unplaced run was in the 2,000 Guineas behind Camelot.
12.05am Windsor Forest Stakes 1m
A race I will probably leave alone but I will look for an e.w. option. Favourite Emulous travels over from Ireland for Dermot Weld and has won six of her last seven starts. The ground is coming right for her and her shrewd handler would not send her over for the fun of it. A worthy favourite. The best of the British is Nahrain who has won four of her five starts with her only defeat in the Breeders Cup. She has not been seen since November but she will be ready to go and she will love the drying ground. Next in the betting is Chachamaidee who won a Group 3 nicely on her reappearance. She needs to improve again but this could be a race to savour between three high class fillies. If you want a fun outsider to bet perhaps last year’s Sandringham winner over course and distance could run well at 33-1.
12.45am Prince of Wales’s Stakes 1m 2f
So You Think looks a penalty kick as his three main challengers have slight negatives against them. Carlton House has not won a Group 1 and to me, runs best fresh, Farhh is basically a handicapper with lots of scope but has had major training problems and Planteur might prefer softer ground and has already been put in his place by So You Think. The only doubt for me on So You Think is the fact he has twice been beaten at Ascot. One who could run well at a price is Reliable Man who won last year’s French Derby.
01.25am Royal Hunt Cup 1m h’cap
An impossible 30 runner handicap where many have been laid out for the race and the draw could prove important. High numbers held sway last year so I will put up six horses, three drawn high, one in the middle and two drawn low. As this is competitive we could end up with six unplaced so you have been warned, draw in brackets.
Belgian Bill (32) Fourth in Britannia last year he often flatters to deceive but will win a big one soon. 16-1 Bonnie Brae (6) Second here in May has not won yet at a mile but that trip looks ideal for him now. Ryan Moore, Champion Jockey booked. 16-1 Dimension (7) Talking horse who is now favourite and is the supposed “good thing” 9-1 Edinburgh Knight (20) Laid out for the race by a shrewd young trainer, may need some luck in running but a big chance. 12-1 Captain Bertie (17) Finally fulfilled his potential at Newbury in April but not seen since. 12-1 Capaill Liath (28) Northern trainer had a winner here yesterday and this course winner could run a big race at decent odds. Ridden by the trainer’s daughter. 33-1
02.00am Queen Mary Stakes 5f
If 27 two year old fillies running over 5 furlongs is your thing then enjoy. Not a race for me with many possible winners a lot of them once raced. Jadanna is unbeaten in two and took a reliable trial for this at Beverley but Threes Grand re-opposes and should turn the tables. Likely favourite is the Sandown winner Upward Spiral but she is inexperienced and it may be better to look for a more battle hardened filly like Graphic Guest who has run three times, winning twice including here in May.
02.35am Sandringham H’cap 1m
Another no bet race for me, 18 three year old fillies racing over a mile. I have spent over an hour studying the race and am no nearer to finding the winner so three against the field are Electrelane, Hello Glory and Devotion. Devotion trained in Ireland was second in the Irish 1,000 Guineas trial before unplaced in the Oaks. Hello Glory was a promising third on her reappearance at York and this race should suit. Electrelane won the German 1,000 Guineas recently and has solid form in the UK.
11.30 EW Red Duke 25-1
12.05 WIN Nahrain 4-1
12.45 EW Reliable Man 14-1
1.25 EW Bonnie Brae 16-1
2.00 EW Threes Grand 33-1
2.35 EW Electrelane 8-1