From the guys at Champion Profits here are the leading contenders on Day Four.
11.30pm Albany Stakes 6f - Only one favourite in ten runnings
Nineteen two year old fillies go to post and that in itself makes it tough to find the winner especially as eight of them are once raced winners and working out the form is not easy. Newfangled is likely to be favourite following an impressive debut two weeks ago when running away from some well regarded types. Agent Allison won well on debut at Pontefract ridden by Newfangled’s jockey so they should have an idea where they stand but the winner was impressive on the eye quickening up nicely. Tassel so impressive on debut was left well behind from the stalls on her next start and that needs to be factored in if you back her. The Gold Cheongsam was heavily backed on debut when third to Mister Marc after getting outpaced mid race. The stables horses are often overbet. Sandreamer won a Newmarket maiden in workmanlike style as did Kosika at Haydock. Perhaps this is a race to throw up a big outsider and at a price I like Premier Steps who put his experience to good use when winning nicely here over 5 furlongs.
12.05am King Edward VII Stakes 1m 4f - 14 of the last 17 winners had not won over 1m 4f before.
Seven runners and a competitive race with only Shantaram not fitting the distance trend having won over 12 furlongs at Newmarket. Astrology will go off favourite after his great run in the Debry when just run out of second close home. That is the best piece of form on offer with Thought Worthy a further place behind. Jockey William Buick prefers Shantaram. Frankel’s brother Noble Mission is more famous for his relative but is a decent horse in his own right but the extra two furlongs must be a worry. Of the others Thomas Chippendale is interesting as he will love any more rain and drew away over 10 furlongs to win easily at Newmarket. That was only a handicap but he beat Fennell Bay who won yesterday and is open to any amount of improvement.
12.45am Coronation Stakes 1m - 12 of the last 14 winners had run in a Guineas
This all revolves around whether Homecoming Queen runs as she did at Newmarket, when winning or at The Curragh when fourth. The form of the Curragh race is strong as Ishvana won here on Wednesday so the winner Samitar must be considered. She was an Ascot winner last year when winning the Albany but the concern with her is any further rain. Homecoming Queen is capable of turning the tables as her Newmarket win was very impressive, and I wouldn’t like to split the pair. I would prefer to back something else e.w and Laugh Out Loud fits the bill, having run in the Guineas behind Homecoming Queen, but then improving enormously, not once but twice since. She won a listed race at York and then went to France and took the Group 2 Prix De Sandringham in decent style. Any further improvement will see her go close.
1.25am Wolferton Listed Handicap 1m 2f - 6 of the last 7 winners have come from a double figure stall
With the fancied horses drawn lower than double figures, we can do worse than look at some bigger priced runners. Qaraaba is a specialist 10 furlong horse and she has been impressive this season with three wins and a second, the last race being an easy win at Doncaster on soft ground. She was second at Newmarket to Danadana who is well fancied for this bu the weight pull and the draw give her every chance of reversing the form. Gatewood, drawn 8, has won two recent races comfortably at York and Epsom, the big doubt about him would be softer ground. Mijhaar is a bit of a talking horse and is another who is often over bet but he has run well in decent races without actually getting his head in front. The ability is obviously there but has yet to be shown with a top class victory. American challenger Hyper has won his last five but it is impossible to judge his ability accurately, perhaps 25-1 will prove to be generous. At the bottom of the handicap Opera Gal should give her sup porters a good run at decent odds.
2.00am Queens Vase 2m - 8 of the last 10 winners lost last time out. 13 of the last 15 winners were placed last time out.
This is a big test for three year olds stepping up to 2 miles, so guessing stamina by breeding is often a good guide. Athens is favourite for the Irish and is also the highest rated horse in the race but it is a bit of a guess with his breeding as to whether he will last home. Both Estimate and Yazdi should get the trip and both were winners last time out. Estimate gets the fillies allowance of 3lbs and that could prove crucial. Singalat will certainly stay but whether he is quick enough is the doubt and preference would be for Spanish Wedding who looks to be crying out for two miles although he has been plying his trade in handicaps.
2.35am Buckingham Palace Stakes Handicap 7f - Only two winners carried over 9st.
Thirty runners on softening ground over 7 furlongs for three year olds is another pin job. All we can do is look for something progressive who will act on the ground. Primaeval will be all the rage to complete the hat trick, with Hayley Turner in the saddle but softer ground is a concern. Three against the field are Noble Citizen who is a four time winner here and was second last time to Primaeval, Haamaat an improving filly from an in form stable who is crying out for 7 furlongs and Lightning Cloud who also runs well at Ascot and was second on seasonal debut over 7furlongs here on soft ground.
11.30 ew Premier Steps
12.05 ew Thomas Chippendale
12.45 win Laugh Out Loud
1.25 ew Qarabaa
2.00 win Yazdi
2.35 ew Noble Citizen