AFL tips

Friday’s Facebook Members Page

by darryn March 25, 2011

Hello to all our Facebook Friends

Friday Night Ratings
We are covering the Moonee Valley meeting tonight.

You can access the ratings in PDF format here or in EXCEL format here.

Your interactive live page can be seen here.

And, if you’re new to the concept of betting to rated prices you can check out our ratings user guide

Friday Night Tips

6.45 Moonee Valley R1 N3, Muchos Respectos – Minimum price: $4.00, Bet: 1.25 units
This looks to be a very nice race for Muchos Respectos. His effort on Saturday behind the promising Turnitup was excellent and he was able to register the fastest 400m sectional of that race. He looks to be very well placed here back from Open to a restriced 72 and is well weighted after a handy claim for the talented Maskiell. The mile will be perfect here and he will be very hard to beat.
Danger: #1 On Face Vale

10.15 Moonee Valley R8 N12, Valuabelle – Minimum price: $2.50, Bet: 2.00 units
1, 11 and 15 all speed horses come out here which enhances the chances of in form Adelaide mare Valuabelle. Her form here at Moonee Valley has been sensational her last couple of runs and she goes up 1kg from her last start win here. She is very reliable out of the gates and will us barrier 1 for all it’s worth here. It’s worth noting that she is undefeated in five starts over 1200m and is two from two at Moonee Valley. Expect Rule will jump and run like she has been doing and be very hard to beat here yet again.
Danger: #7 Palatine

Friday Night Blackbooker
Moonee Valley R1 N3 Muchos Respectos
Produced fastest 400m sectional of the race in 22.44. Will get better over 1600m+

Metro Mail
The aim of the Metro Mail membership is to offer a membership package that gives you racing information each Saturday and Wednesday

What our Metro Mail members receive can be seen here.

Lay Betting selections
We only lay these horses at $10 and under.
Albury R3 N1 Henriette
Albury R3 N2 Curlashot
Tamworth R7 N1 Slick Sniper

Our sports betting selections can be seen below:

NRL Weekend Selections

Scott was not keen on betting in either of Friday night’s games but did wish to share a tip from the weekends games.

Manly -4.5 points bet 2 units

Scott’s video preview for Friday night’s games can be seen below:

AFL Selections

Our AFL analyst has a futures bet for you:

The Western Bulldogs seem to have been blessed with a favourable draw.

They only play last years top 4 teams once -  Stkilda, Collingwood and
Geelong. Also only play the up and comers Carlton once.

If we look at the teams they get to play twice, they are Gold Coast, West
Coast,  Essendon, Sydney and Fremantle. To even things up slightly, they
also play the Hawks twice.

With this draw, they seem to have a great chance of a top 4 finish. Whilst
still only a $2.25 chance, they seem likely to finish top 4 rather than 5th
to 8th.

Vince’s Round 1 match analysis can be seen here.

Weekend Soccer Tip

Ireland – Premier League

25/3/11 7.45pm Local Time (26/3/11 6.45am AEST)
UC Dublin v Bray
Pick: Lay draw 3.50 @ Betfair

 

Good Luck to everyone

The team at Champion Picks

Ph: 1300 500 057

Horse racing and sports tips – bet like a professional.

The explosive growth of sports betting

by David March 3, 2011
Sports betting turnover in Australia has doubled in just 5 years and it’s share of the overall gambling industry is growing at an annual rate 24 times that of horse racing (12% annually versus 0.5%). 

So what is it about sports betting that has fuelled this explosive growth? And with the NRL and AFL seasons starting this month what are the main reasons why this will be a record year for football betting?

(1) Easy to learn: football betting doesn’t require a form guide or to learn specialist industry terms. Pretty much any football fan can place a bet, unlike horse racing where there is a learning curve in understanding many of the terms used in a form guide and when placing a bet. We often under-estimate this because we just take this racing jargon for granted as if we have always known it, but people are easily put off by something that seems foreign or difficult so it can be a real impediment to attracting new horse racing punters.

(2) Value for money (part 1): the takeout of a normal horse racing market is 3 or 4 times as much as football or other sports bets, which means the ‘price’ of horse racing is much higher and racing punters lose at a rate 3 or 4 times faster than sports bettors.

(3) Value for money (part 2): a football game goes for 2 or 3 hours, whereas a horse race goes for just a minute or two. The casual punter who wants to have a $20 bet will often choose the ‘value’ option.

(4) Huge media exposure: people want to bet on events they can (a) watch on TV, (b) read about in the papers and (c) chat about with their mates. Football betting undoubtedly offers all three of these, whereas racing is still somewhat of a niche sport.

(5) Wide variety of options: you can bet on almost anything you like in a football game, whether it’s the first scorer, margins or myriad other options. Compare that to horse racing where, except for the advent of laying, punters are basically offered the same bet types they were 10, 20 or even 100 years ago.

(6) Every game is important : the football codes have defined seasons and just 8 to 10 games per week means that every one of those has real meaning. That is in stark contrast to horse racing which is very much a diluted product with wall-to-wall racing 363 days per year.

(7) Both teams are trying: despite the occasional controversy, the football codes have much cleaner reputations compared to horse racing, which has been tainted by the stigma of corruption for as long as there has been betting.

Sports betting will continue to grow at a fast rate for a long time yet, so it’s up to our horse racing administrators to learn from other betting industries and understand that the competition for the gambling dollar will only get tougher in the years ahead.

Good punting

David Duffield

AFL Round 15 tips

by David July 8, 2010

In the interview below our AFL analyst discusses two of his best bets for Round 15.

Vince believes there are good value bets in the following games:
Brisbane vs. St Kilda (Saturday night)
Carlton vs. Bulldogs (Sunday twilight)

Click on the link below to listen to this 6 minute audio.

AFL Round 15 Tips [ 0:01 ] Play Now | Play in Popup | Download