June 2010

Twitter Weekly Updates for 2010-06-20

by David June 20, 2010
  • Well worth having a few bucks on the over 2 goals (at odds of $2.00)when Uruguay play South Africa tomorrow night http://bit.ly/96bwNM #
  • Stunning blow to Racing NSW as High Court rules in favour of corporate bookies. V'Landys will appeal but his job must be in doubt now #
  • 3.50pm Canterbury R6 #5 Sly Lu. Rated $4.00, Bet 1.25 units. Impressive last start win and looks good value today #
  • Time to Strike in the World Cup http://aweber.com/b/XlRi #
  • Rosehill Race 2 # 5 TITLE. Expected to win last start but not able to sprint on the Heavy surface. Meets Triple Elegance better at weights #

Melbourne’s best trainers

by David June 18, 2010

Who are the premier trainers in Australia and how do you assess the best of the best?


Using unfiltered statistics such as number of wins (in isolation) is not a true indication of a trainer’s ability. To counter that, we have compiled what we believe to be a fair statistical analysis of the premiership leading trainers this racing season and for a better measure of success we have only looked at horses starting at 5/1 or less. The reason we have done this is because it’s unfair to gauge a trainer’s performance on horses that are unsuited due to the track condition, distance, stage of preparation or any other factor. So we have concentrated on horses who were in the market and therefore expected to perform well.

Another key statistic we looked at was the ability of a trainer to maintain a horse’s winning performance. That is being able to back a horse up from a win and being able to win again next start. (more…)

State of Origin preview

by David June 15, 2010
The Blues will be strong defensively and can clearly win this game in the final 20 minutes as they have an outstanding spine in Hayne, Barrett, Pearce and Ennis, who will be looking to exploit their left with the Dragon combination of Creagh, Cooper and try scoring freak Brett Morris. They will think they are a chance against Willie Tonga, who normally plays on the other side, and big Izzy Folau who is often caught out with his lateral defence. For this to work Pearce and Barrett will have to combine well and they only met for the first time last week and have had an interrupted preparation as Mrs Barrett dropped a future number 6 last Friday. It will be interesting to see how Barrett handles the calls as he will have to be a “part time” Dragon again. (more…)